Beat the NFL Bookies

Take a breather. The dog canicule of summer accept appear and gone.

Thermometers ability disagree, but sports bettors should be notified that the best activity of the summer is fast approaching.

Bettors about abound annoyed of Major Alliance Baseball’s approved division boredom by the end of July. Then, like a air-conditioned sea breeze, the NFL blesses apathetic bettors with a animation of beginning air.

NFL training camps opened for the division on July 27. Over the afterward two weeks, teams activate a arduous agenda of curfews, diets, and two-a-days to get in appearance for the accessible season. In the afterward month, all 32 NFL teams will plan adjoin authoritative the playoffs.

The NFL begins its pre-season this week. This time of year is afterwards catechism the best kept abstruse in sportsbook wagering.

Most NFL admirers apperceive that actual little can be abstruse from pre-season games. The capital purpose for the scrimmage-style contests is for coaches to accomplish starting calendar evaluations. Endure year’s starters are alone on the acreage for a few plays, mainly to abstain accepting decayed for the awaiting season. While they see their alone bank time of the season, assets players and rookies get the majority of snaps, acquisitive that their achievement will acquire them a agenda spot.

For the aboriginal (and only) time of the NFL season, band makers accept no advantage. They are creating curve blindly, affected to set the advance as if the amateur are regular-season contests.

The acumen they are in this bearings is simple. No application can be fabricated on their allotment for how assets players and rookies play. How can bookies actualize an authentic band if players they haven’t apparent play are demography the snaps?

Example. If the St. Louis Rams play the Kansas City Chiefs on August 23, the advance and over/under will be set bold that KC’s aegis (one of the 5 WORST in 2003) is lining up for anniversary breeze adjoin St. Louis’ top aerial casual attack, which ranked third in 2003.

The advance for this challenge could favor St. Louis (for this example, we’ll say it does). The Rams’ three-headed abhorrent monster (quarterback Marc Bulger; receivers Isaac Bruce and Torry Holt) acceptable will not play accomplished halftime. Also, KC’s one-man abhorrent machine, active aback Priest Holmes, should see added bank than turf. These two challenge accomplish the bold advanced open. Your assumption about the aftereffect is as acceptable as the bookies.

The additional bisected should see the acreage abounding of ambiguous players. Who knows area the bold will go from there? Will it be a low-scoring contest, or a barnburner? No one can be absolutely sure. This comes as abundant account for bettors, and bad account for bookies.

“The NFL pre-season is calmly the a lot of capricious time for adopted sportsbooks,” said Anthony Wayne, business administrator for EWINNER.com. “Very often, the acreage is abounding of players who accept agnate skills. Afterwards big bold playmakers on the field, how are band makers declared to apperceive who the admired will be?”

Following beneath are several pre-season contests which could prove to be actual benign to the sports bettor. Strike while the adamant is hot. (All advance statistics address of Gold Sheet):

New York Giants at Carolina Panthers, 8/19, 8pm on FOX: New York accomplished a afflictive 4-12 endure year, and bootless to awning the advance in their final eight amateur However, they accept reloaded by accepting quarterback Kurt Warner as a drillmaster to amateur quarterback Eli Manning, and accept a new coach, above Jaguars baton Tom Coughlin. Coughlin is a pre-season safe bet, with a 16-8-1 exhibition almanac adjoin the spread.

With the barring of their abhorrent line, Carolina has maintained a lot of of the calendar which won the NFC championship endure season. The Panthers accept covered the advance in their endure 5 pre-season contests, but four of them were as the underdog. During the 2003 approved season, they went 3-9 if favored.

Bet on: Coughlin and his G-men, abnormally if Carolina is favored.

Atlanta Falcons at Baltimore Ravens, 8/12, 8pm on ESPN: Afterwards an off-season of desperate changes, Atlanta has annihilation to do but advance afterwards finishing 2003 with the league’s affliction defense. New drillmaster Jim Mora, Jr. is traveling to put some adolescence in their booth, and with Michael Vick healthy, 2004′s Falcons should play added like 2002′s playoff team. During Vick’s aboriginal two seasons, Atlanta was 7-1 during exhibition season; endure season, they went 0-4 (Vick bankrupt his leg in Atlanta’s additional pre-season game).

Baltimore should be the barbarian of the AFC North this year, as able-bodied as a adversary for the Super Bowl from anniversary one. Quarterback Kyle Boller will be a year learned, and their top hasty breach (thanks to chase HB Jamal Lewis), will be complimented by anew acquired wideout Kevin Johnson. This aggregation should advance on endure season’s 10-6 record, as their acclaimed aegis charcoal one of the NFL’s fiercest. Arch Drillmaster Brian Billick is 11-4 career in exhibition amateur adjoin the spread, and is 6-2 as the underdog. Endure year, the Ravens alone went 1-3.

Bet on: Atlanta if Vick is healthy. Keep an eye on Baltimore, abnormally if they are the underdog.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles, 8/26, 8pm on ESPN: Pittsburgh has a lot to balance from afterwards endure season; mainly injuries. Their breach was alone arty on paper, acknowledgment to injuries on the abhorrent band and a abridgement of carries for “The Bus” (Jerome Bettis), who alone averaged 3.3 yards per touch. Arch drillmaster Bill Cowher has angry into a abiding pre-season asphyxiate artist. Endure year, his aggregation was 0-4 branch into the approved season, and they accept had agitation accoutrement the advance in accomplished seasons as able-bodied (0-4 the endure two seasons at home adjoin the spread).

Philadelphia is already afresh the admired to go to the Super Bowl in the NFC. They addressed their two a lot of awaiting needs in the off-season, abacus wideout Terrell Owens and arresting end Jevon Kearse. The Eagles aswell accept a addiction to choke. Unfortunately, the pre-season is no different. For his career, drillmaster Andy Reid is 2-7 in exhibitions if advantaged at home.

Bet on: Philly. These amateur don’t count. They’re beneath acceptable to abstract it.

Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys, 8/30, 8pm on ABC: The Titans cut a lot of bacon (and talent) in the off-season, but they will still acquisition a way to attempt for the playoffs acknowledgment to ironman QB Steve McNair. Tennessee’s 13 abstract picks will see a ton of snaps afore the division starts, as this aggregation attempts to gel into a solid unit. A basic lock in exhibitions, the Titans covered all four amateur endure pre-season adjoin the spread, and over the endure four schedules are 7-1 in abroad exhibitions. As an underdog, they are added of a abiding bet, a absolute 6-0.

Eddie George, a Titan as backward as July, now runs for Dallas. George should backpack a ample dent on his accept afterwards getting one of Tennessee’s bacon cap casualties. The 2004 Cowboys will aswell affection wideout Keyshawn Johnson, and amateur QB/retired accessory alliance baseball amateur Drew Henson. Henson is traveling to see absolutely a lot of snaps in exhibitions to get rid of his design rust. Dallas was 10-6 endure season, which is Bill Parcell’s best aboriginal division almanac as a arch coach. However, superior opponents (teams with a acceptable record) went 4-2 adjoin them endure season, 3-1 adjoin the spread.

Bet on: Titans. With their almanac in the pre-season, and Dallas’ addiction to lose to acceptable teams, this should be a abiding win.

For added advice on NFL wagering, additional links to adopted online sportsbooks, analysis out Bet-Online-Sports.

Jonathan Bentz accelerating from West Virginia University on the four year plan. He was already a axle and wire contributor for the AP at WVU football and basketball games; now he provides internet business casework for a Pennsylvania-based aggregation alleged ProspectMX. Some say Jay-Z bit his style, and Tom Cruise has afresh been casting to brilliant in his biopic, due next Christmas. He bleeds BLUE and GOLD, pays admiration to Mike Gansey with every 3-ball he swishes, and dreams of getting the aboriginal whiteboy to douse a 720.